St. Mary's (Cal.)
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
904  Carina Novell SR 21:27
1,484  Nyralee Chhotu JR 22:08
1,721  Ali Teliha JR 22:23
1,846  Alyssa`` Gutcher-Cerminara JR 22:32
2,024  Andrea Gonzalez FR 22:44
2,053  Allie Timbrell FR 22:46
2,511  Kim Avalos JR 23:26
2,818  Neylene Leon FR 24:07
2,824  Taylor Khan JR 24:09
National Rank #219 of 339
West Region Rank #32 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 32nd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Carina Novell Nyralee Chhotu Ali Teliha Alyssa`` Gutcher-Cerminara Andrea Gonzalez Allie Timbrell Kim Avalos Neylene Leon Taylor Khan
Capital Cross Challenge 10/03 1319 22:25 22:29 22:52 22:48 23:41
Santa Clara Bronco Invitational 10/17 1246 21:22 22:06 21:26 22:38 23:04 22:53 23:26 24:22 23:39
West Coast Conference 10/31 1253 21:31 22:14 22:33 22:17 22:25 22:43 24:53
West Region Championships 11/13 1270 21:32 21:51 23:00 22:52 22:38 22:45 24:16





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 32.5 930 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.0 2.6 5.5 10.5 14.4



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Carina Novell 118.7
Nyralee Chhotu 181.0
Ali Teliha 201.9
Alyssa`` Gutcher-Cerminara 212.9
Andrea Gonzalez 225.1
Allie Timbrell 226.7
Kim Avalos 254.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 0.0% 0.0 24
25 0.2% 0.2 25
26 0.3% 0.3 26
27 1.0% 1.0 27
28 2.6% 2.6 28
29 5.5% 5.5 29
30 10.5% 10.5 30
31 14.4% 14.4 31
32 14.6% 14.6 32
33 14.3% 14.3 33
34 13.8% 13.8 34
35 11.6% 11.6 35
36 7.9% 7.9 36
37 2.7% 2.7 37
38 0.5% 0.5 38
39 39
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0